TIPS FORUM 2021
Reconstruction and Recovery
Rethinking Inclusive Industrialisation in Response to COVID-19
PRESENTATIONS AND PAPERS
DAY ONE: 2 AUGUST 2021
OPENING SESSION
09:00-09:15 Welcome Saul Levin (TIPS)
Prof Fiona Tregenna (SARChI, UJ)
SESSION 1: RETHINKING INCLUSIVE INDUSTRIALISATION, RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION
10:00-11:15
Moderator: Mbofholowo Tsedu
- Presentation: The impact of local content policies on South Africa
Lauralyn Kaziboni and Matthew Stern (DNA Economics) - Presentation: Evaluation of appropriate stimulus measures to support the recovery of the South African automotive industry
- Justin Barnes (Gordon Institute of Business Science and Toyota Wessels Institute of Manufacturing Studies) and Mbongeni Ndlovu (B&M Analysts)
- Presentation: Positioning the City of Cape Town's implementation of the EPWP as a key facilitator of sustainable support and development of SMMEs
Masibulele Zonyana (City of Cape Town)
- Paper: The impact of local content policies on South Africa: Drawing lessons from foreign investors’ experience of the PPPFA and REIP4
Lauralyn Kaziboni and Matthew Stern (DNA Economics) - Paper: Evaluation of appropriate stimulus measures to support the recovery of the South African automotive industry
Justin Barnes and Mbongeni Ndlovu (Gordon Institute of Business Science and Toyota Wessels Institute of Manufacturing Studies)
SESSION 2: COVID-19 AND LESSONS FOR A JUST TRANSITION
11:30-12:45
Moderator: Muhammed Patel (TIPS)
- Presentation: Lessons learnt: COVID-19 and the climate crisis in South Africa
Julia Taylor and Katrina Lehmann-Grube (Institute for Economic Justice) - Presentation: #EndAusterity for a just transition
Dominic Brown (Alternative Information & Development Centre) - Presentation: Meeting the imperative for growth within fiscal constraints: How sustainability transitions and innovation policy can deliver the public goods (necessary for the economic recovery)
David R Walwyn (Graduate School of Technology Management, University of Pretoria)
- Paper: Lessons learnt: COVID-19 and the climate crisis in South Africa Julia Taylor and Katrina Lehmann-Grube (Institute for Economic Justice)
- Paper: #EndAusterity for a just transition Dominic Brown (Alternative Information and Development Centre)
- Paper: Meeting the imperative for growth within fiscal constraints: How sustainability transitions and innovation policy can deliver the public goods
David R Walwyn (Graduate School of Technology Management, University of Pretoria)
DAY TWO: 3 AUGUST 2021
SESSION 3: ADVANCING REGIONAL TRADE AND RECOVERY FOR POST COVID-19 RECOVERY
10:00-11:15
Moderator: Ademola Osigbesan (University of Cape Town)
- Presentation: Promoting circular practices in SA-EU food trade
Tlale Matseke (DNA Economics) - Presentation: Trade complementarity in Africa
- Gerald Mfongeh, Yvonne David and Matlhogonolo Sethetho (Department of Trade, Industry and Competition)
- Presentation: Regional impacts of COVID-19: Firm-level evidence for South Africa
Dr Justin Visagie and Prof Ivan Turok (HSRC/University of the Free State)
SESSION 4: MACROECONOMIC POLICY, INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND SOCIAL PROTECTION RESPONSES TO COVID-19
11:30-12:45
Moderator: Dr Basani Baloyi (Institute for Economic Justice)
- Presentation: Reconstruction and recovery: What has changed?
Dr Neva Makgetla (TIPS) - Presentation: Macroeconomic and finance policies for social development and transformation
- Dr Seeraj Mohamed (South African Parliamentary Budget Office)
- Presentation: Social transfers in a crisis: Seizing opportunities of the moment
Dr Kate Philip (Programme Lead, Presidential Employment Stimulus)
It was held in partnership with the South African Research Chair in Industrial Development (SARChI) at the University of Johannesburg, and in association with the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (the dtic).
Themes
The TIPS Forum seeks to provide an outlook on the challenges brought by the COVID-19 pandemic and explore opportunities and prospects for recovery and resilience in developing economies. The call for proposals would cover broad themes including:
- Rethinking inclusive industrialisation, recovery and reconstruction
- Trade reform in Africa
- Macroeconomic policy and industrial policy for recovery and reconstruction
- COVID-19 and lessons for regional industrialisation and advancing regional integration
- Developing and strengthening regional value chains
- COVID-19 and lessons for a just transition
- Localisation of imports
- Technological change and upgrading for recovery and reconstruction
- Social protection responses to COVID-19
- SMMEs and economic reconstruction
Context for the conference
Economic recovery since the 2008/09 financial crisis, across countries and within economies, has been uneven. South Africa has experienced relatively stagnant GDP growth and uneven patterns of growth across and within its sectors, as well as high levels of inequality and unemployment, with the absorption rate well below that of other upper-middle-income countries. In addition, participation in the South African economy continues to be shaped by race, gender, class and geographical location. The impact of COVID-19 is likely to result in severe shifts in the global and domestic political economy and likely to deepen pre-existing structural constraints on growth in the medium to long term.
The impact of COVID-19 on South Africa’s trading partners is likely to result in long-term subdued foreign demand for South African goods and services. Traditional pathways to industrialisation, i.e. the dynamics and processes of external and domestic linkages that facilitate structural change, are being challenged. In this context, debates related to the appropriate application of specific industrial policy tools which aim to facilitate transformative structural change, have resurfaced.
Assessing and addressing the impact of the pandemic on African economies and societies is necessary to inform and tailor the appropriate responses of African governments to facilitate economic recovery, while expanding access for the most vulnerable groups in society to participate in the economy.
African governments have implemented stimulus packages, containment measures and other necessary restrictions to limit the spread of the virus and to sustain and balance the economy. The implementation of public policy measures, in response to the pandemic, has triggered questions about the systemic resilience of global and domestic value chains, as well as renewed interest in advocating for the diversification and localisation of production and shorter supply chains in certain sectors that can adapt in times of crisis.
The recovery will require mobilising efforts between public, private, national and regional leaders across a number of key areas. The 2021 Forum will explore these issues and bring together academics, policymakers and practitioners involved in the various aspects of regional industrial development. The aim is to deepen the understanding of a cross-section of issues, and the related opportunities and challenges.